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Table 2 Model selection results of the best-supported model set (ΔAICc < 4) for daily nest survival rate at the egg and nestling stages of Silver-throated Tits

From: Research activity does not affect nest predation rates of the Silver-throated Tit, a passerine bird building domed nests

Stages

Models

k

LogLik

ΔAICc

wi

Egg

Date + NestAge + Year

10

− 335.254

0.000a

0.208

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + Year

11

− 335.043

1.588

0.094

 

Date + NestAge + NestHeight + Year

11

− 335.100

1.703

0.089

 

Date + NestAge + Visit + Year

11

− 335.147

1.798

0.085

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + NestHeight + Year

12

− 334.895

3.303

0.040

 

Date + NestAge + NestHeight + Year

12

− 334.994

3.502

0.036

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + Visit + Year

12

− 335.004

3.521

0.036

 

Date + Year

9

− 338.158

3.801

0.031

 

Date + NestAge

3

− 344.210

3.869

0.030

 

NestAge + Year

9

− 338.254

3.992

0.028

Nestling

Date + NestAge + Year

10

− 316.314

0.000b

0.085

 

Date + Year

9

− 317.421

0.196

0.077

 

Date + NestAge + NestHeight + Year

11

− 315.504

0.401

0.069

 

Date + NestHeight + Year

10

− 316.606

0.583

0.063

 

Date + NestAge + Visit + Year

11

− 315.922

1.236

0.046

 

Date + Visit

3

− 324.022

1.327

0.044

 

Date + NestAge + Visit

4

− 323.084

1.458

0.041

 

Date + NestAge + NestHeight + Visit + Year

12

− 315.075

1.564

0.039

 

Date

2

− 325.185

1.647

0.037

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + Year

11

− 316.311

2.013

0.031

 

Date + Visit + Year

10

− 317.321

2.014

0.031

 

Date + NestHeight + Visit

4

− 323.447

2.184

0.028

 

Date + Filming + Year

10

− 317.413

2.198

0.028

 

Date + NestAge + NestHeight + Visit

5

− 322.491

2.281

0.027

 

Date + NestHeight + Visit + Year

11

− 316.486

2.364

0.026

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + NestHeight + Year

12

− 315.495

2.404

0.025

 

Date + Filming + NestHeight + Year

11

− 316.602

2.597

0.023

 

Date + NestAge

3

− 324.754

2.790

0.021

 

Date + NestHeight

3

− 324.760

2.802

0.021

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + Visit + Year

12

− 315.752

2.918

0.020

 

Date + Filming + Visit

4

− 323.862

3.013

0.019

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + Visit

5

− 322.894

3.087

0.018

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + NestHeight + Visit + Year

13

− 314.924

3.285

0.016

 

Date + Filming

3

− 325.009

3.301

0.016

 

Date + Filming + Visit + Year

11

− 317.186

3.764

0.013

 

Date + Filming + NestHeight + Visit

5

− 323.292

3.882

0.012

 

Date + Filming + NestAge + NestHeight + Visit

6

− 322.309

3.927

0.012

 

Date + NestAge + NestHeight

4

− 324.335

3.960

0.012

  1. Candidate variables included Visit (researchers’ nest visit), Filming (nest filming), Date (for the egg-stage analysis, date is the number of days from the date when the first egg of a nest was laid to the date when the first egg of the population was laid in each year, i.e. laying date; for the nestling-stage analysis, date is the number of days from the date when nestlings of a nest hatched to the date when the first nestling of the population hatched in each year, i.e. hatching date), Year, NestAge (number of days after the first egg of the nest was laid or number of days after the nestlings of the nest hatched for the analyses of the egg-stage and nestling stages, respectively), NestHeight (nest height). k is the number of model parameters. LogLik is the log-likelihood. Models are ranked based on the difference in corrected Akaike’s Information Criterion (ΔAICc) and model weight (wi)
  2. aMinimum AICc value = 690.557
  3. bMinimum AICc value = 652.728