Skip to main content

Table 3 The best-supported (ΔAICc < 2.0) candidate models of the between-individual variation in the probability that a captured bird would be male

From: Adults have more male-biased sex ratios than first-winter juveniles in wintering duck populations

Species

Model

AICc

ΔAICc

Relative likelihood

Akaike weights

Evidence ratio

Nagelkerke’s R2

Gadwall

i + A

2469.94

0.00

1.00

0.292

1.00

0.030

 

i + A + N

2471.45

1.51

0.47

0.137

2.13

0.031

 

i + WL + A

2471.61

1.67

0.43

0.127

2.30

0.031

 

i + A + D

2471.89

1.95

0.38

0.110

2.66

0.030

 

i

2509.94

40.00

0.00

0.000

4.85 × 108

0.000

Northern Mallard

i + (WL + WQ) + A + ((WL + WQ):A) + D

40,345.28

0.00

1.00

0.627

1.00

0.041

 

i + (WL + WQ) + A + ((WL + WQ):A) + N + D

40,347.27

1.99

0.37

0.232

2.70

0.041

 

i

41,256.36

911.08

0.00

0.000

6.89 × 10197

0.000

Northern Pintail

i + (WL + WQ) + A + ((WL + WQ):A) + D

6331.82

0.00

1.00

0.483

1.00

0.085

 

i + (WL + WQ) + A + ((WL + WQ):A) + N + D

6333.43

1.60

0.45

0.217

2.23

0.086

 

i

6640.17

308.35

0.00

0.000

9.06 × 1066

0.000

Common Pochard

i + WL + A + (WL:A) + N + D

6495.44

0.00

1.00

0.796

1.00

0.089

 

i

6857.68

362.24

0.00

0.000

4.57 × 1078

0.000

Common Shelduck

i + WL + A + (WL:A) + N

2878.22

0.00

1.00

0.170

1.00

0.113

 

i + WL + A + N

2878.39

0.17

0.92

0.157

1.09

0.112

 

i + WL + A + (WL:A)

2879.06

0.84

0.66

0.112

1.52

0.112

 

i + WL + A

2879.71

1.49

0.48

0.081

2.10

0.111

 

i + (WL + WQ) + A + N

2879.88

1.66

0.44

0.074

2.29

0.113

 

i + WL + A + (WL:A) + N + D

2880.18

1.96

0.38

0.064

2.66

0.113

 

i

3099.22

220.99

0.00

0.000

9.73 × 1947

0.000

Northern Shoveler

i + WL + A

583.31

0.00

1.00

0.185

1.00

0.041

 

i + WL + A + (WL:A)

584.52

1.21

0.55

0.101

1.83

0.043

 

i + A

584.68

1.36

0.51

0.094

1.98

0.031

 

i + (WL + WQ) + A

585.01

1.70

0.43

0.079

2.34

0.042

 

i + WL + A + D

585.14

1.82

0.40

0.074

2.49

0.041

 

i + WL + A + N

585.31

1.99

0.37

0.068

2.71

0.041

 

i

593.02

9.70

0.01

0.001

127.94

0.000

Eurasian Teal

i + (WL + WQ) + A + ((WL + WQ):A) + N + D

44,224.58

0.00

1.00

0.907

1.00

0.010

 

i

44,452.61

228.03

0.00

0.000

3.28 × 1049

0.000

Tufted Duck

i + WL + A + (WL:A) + N + D

8450.02

0.00

1.00

0.554

1.00

0.049

 

i + (WL + WQ) + A + ((WL + WQ):A) + N + D

8450.46

0.44

0.80

0.445

1.25

0.050

 

i

8674.38

224.36

0.00

0.000

5.23 × 1048

0.000

Eurasian Wigeon

i + (WL + WQ) + A + ((WL + WQ):A) + N + D

7270.31

0.00

1.00

0.867

1.00

0.080

 

i

7596.49

326.18

0.00

0.000

6.74 × 1070

0.000

  1. The null model, comprised of the intercept alone, is also included for each species for comparison. The lowest AICc model for each species is indicated in bold. Full model comparison for each species is given in Additional file 1: Tables S2a–i. Parameters: i = intercept, WL = linear trend over winters, WQ = quadratic trend over winters, AJ = age class (juveniles), D = winter date, N = latitude